Liberals and conservatives and the I dunnos.......

Is there any chance Barack Obama will drop out of the race for president? Interesting thought to ponder.

In 1964 Lyndon Johnson was elected in a landslide over Barry Goldwater, 42-million to 27-million. A real drubbing. Four years later, in 1968, Johnson packed it in because he knew he was going to lose.

In 2008 Obama had a much closer race with John McCain than Goldwater/Johnson and struggled in many states which had gone to LBJ. I doubt there is any chance Obama would chose not to run for reelection? I suspect his withdrawing would not be his own choosing. He is beginning to listen to himself and I doubt he is willing to accept reality.

Since campaign money is central to an Obama strategy, anything less than an overwhelming amount in campaign cash would lead to an electoral disaster. I doubt the Obama ego would allow him to chose not to run. However the call might not be his to make. How far are his backers and money people going to go with him if his poling numbers continue to tank?

Who would replace Obama is a tough call. One possibility is Hillary Clinton. She would likely be the only “heavy weight” who could enter with a ready made support network. No one else could possibly step in at the last moment.

The bottom line is Democrats are in complete disarray. Their problems don’t end with Obama and the presidency. The same will be true in senate and house races, governor’s races everywhere, state and county races at all levels. This election year could bring on a sea change in the political structure. Even Massachusetts could pick up a seat or two as well as some state legislative seats.

This election year could do for Republicans what 1932 did for Democrats.

When the Republicans have gone through the selection process they will eventually chose one of two candidates. One will be from the moderate wing of the party and the other will be a conservative. That’s the nature of most GOP nominations. Occasionally a nomination is simply awarded on the basis of the most senior candidate. This year one of the finalists will be from the moderate wing which looks to be Mitt Romney while the conservative side could be any one of seven or eight candidates and some currently non candidates. What camp Chris Christie falls in is anyone’s guess.

Christie poses a dilemma for conservatives. They have been burned by Texas Governor on the issue of illegal aliens. Where does Chris stand? Don’t know and I suspect there is an effort to keep his positions under wrap as long as possible.

Fasten your seatbelt, we’re in for a wild ride.

Ciao…….Moe